I came across the attached article by Walter Jehne “Biology_of_Global_Warming”. I felt that I finally understood what Nichlas Ihren meant when he wrote “This is the reason why I think we are too obsessed with action and visible results. They make us feel as if we are about to solve the problem, when the reality may be the opposite. This is also the reason why I believe far more systems understanding is needed” in the discussion “Addressing root causes of global challenges” here on Open World Café.
That discussion was very important to me. It made it clear to me that CO2 had become “the cholesterol of the climate discussion” (read: a measurable unit, which in larger concentrations typically appears together with other life-threatening problems. A measurable unit that we zoom in on and try to decrease, thus distracting us from the real problems/solutions).
Based on a systems approach, Walter Jehne argues that reforestation is a more obvious response to climate change than CO2-reduction. Not just because of the trees’ ability to convert CO2 to O2 (which most of us can relate to), but also because of several other complex biological and physical processes (in particular the interaction with the earth's water cycles) that have a much greater effect on the climate.
With that (and COP15) in mind, I’m thinking: Instead of “just” working with a financial instrument like CO2 quotas (which in my opinion will only end up moving the problem around and potentially create more inequality in the world) why don’t we make every country responsible for planting trees corresponding to their CO2 emmissions ... and in addition follow Burghard’s suggestion in the above mentioned discussion on OWC to “make it international law (…) to plant at least two trees for every tree cut”.
I’m not an environmental biologist or an expert on international law, but what I do know from my career in the field of business intelligence is, that you get what you measure – nothing more, nothing less. If we end up agreeing on reducing CO2-levels of 20% in 2020, then that’s what we’re going to get … but like the president of the Maldives said at a panel discussion at COP15 “You cannot bargain with nature”. This is not a bargaining situation - we need to do much more!
I’ve always loved the following quote from Steve Jobs, the founder of Apple Computers: "When you start looking at a problem and it seems really simple, you don't really understand the complexity of the problem. Then you get into the problem, and you see that it's really complicated, and you come up with all these conveluted solutions. That's sort of the middle, and that's where most people stop .... But the really great person will keep going and find the key, the underlying principle of the problem-and come up with an elegant, really beautiful solution that works".
I hope that the world doesn’t stop at the superficial or convoluted solution. I hope that Walter Jehne is right, and that there is an elegant, really beautiful solution to the climate problems the world is facing.
For me, at this point, it seems obvious that there should be an international agreement linking CO2-emmissions and deforestation to a demand for reforestation. But then again, I’m not an expert.
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